Eurovision betting, an overview
Eurovision aficionados will tell you that you have to study the themes, listen to past entries and study past trends, see the performances as works of art in their own right and research the lyrics and artist to be included in the total evaluation. Basically, become a Eurovision scholar. Most likely, you’ll already lean toward your own choices with more academic criteria; the love of a particular culture, a voice, a look that you like and you discard the ones based on weakness in content, talent or image.
Google searches have managed to quite accurately predict the losing countries in the past, if not the actual winners, thanks to an intrinsic interest in the artist. So having a look at search hits per participant might give you an idea of the odds. The emotions conveyed in the song can be powerful; a winning entry may not be based on voice talent alone but on image and meaning too. Trends are notoriously hard to predict with fewer special effects and more substance but that doesn’t go to say just because there were fewer the last few years doesn’t mean there will be nothing impressive in coming years. However, it isn’t ultimately the showiness that wins and trends have in fact moved away from the spectacular, favouring instead the simplicity of the song itself.