How to Bet on the Eurovision: Odds and Strategies

The Eurovision Song Contest may be limited to Europe (and Australia for some reason) but it also just so happens to be the largest music competition in the world. With most countries providing legitimate competition, as well as some with a political bias towards their supposed rivals, the Eurovision provides entertaining, and even compulsive, viewing in the homes of families throughout Europe. Even when the Eurovision odds are not on the side of our home country, we can’t help but tune in with that little glimmer of hope.

We’re going to look here at the competition itself, as well as what you should be looking out for when it comes to deciding on which country to bet on. We’ll look at which strategies to use, what you should take into account and what you should ignore. The Eurovision is entertaining as it is, but once you’ve found some Eurovision odds you like and have placed your bet, things can become even more exciting on the night.

An introduction to Eurovision betting

Betting on Eurovision is about going with your instinct, the songs, and perhaps, mainly, the opinions of others. Even if you don’t like a particular entry, that shouldn’t stop you from finding out about the artist, who they are, their background, and the country they’re presenting. Taking all of this into account, you can place your bet without going into too much research on many entries.

There’s no one answer to how you should bet on the Eurovision. You should observe and research both past and present trends. For example, after one particular Dutch duo received a very positive reception in 2014, there were numerous male/female duos the following year. So study the past few contests. There are also fewer carnival-style performances and flashiness, having been replaced by a greater emphasis on music and the actual songs. Some countries, of course, still insist on putting on a show and the contest always welcomes such acts, even though they’re unlikely to win.

Eurovision odds and other betting factors

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Some people believe that the voting is far more about politics than it is about being objective but the truth is that there’s more to it than that. One theory suggests that people tend to vote based on cultural similarities, as opposed to border boundaries. Recent winners have been more universal than country-specific so that viewers could relate to what they represented. So that’s certainly something to bear in mind when deciding on which country to bet on.

However, there are more things to consider when deciding who to place your bet on for the Eurovision. When bookmakers make their predictions, they usually turn out to be close to the actual results so it’s good practice to look at the odds long before it’s time to place your bet. Experts don’t make their predictions based on songs but have their own methods for reading the trends and atmosphere. One thing to note is that the final act of the national qualifications usually receives more points than earlier acts and tend to continue on to the semi-finals. Once the event order has been announced – both semi-finals and the final itself – further changes might be made.

Eurovision running order

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Something else that you should keep in mind is the running order of the semi-finals and final. This can help you when it comes to deciding which act has a better chance of progressing to the Grand Final. The organisers make decisions on how the songs should be placed so that they are given the maximum amount of exposure. You’ll notice that there are practically no two ballads in a row or consecutive upbeat rock songs. This also contributes to making for a more interesting show and is one way how the organisers seek to achieve higher ratings.

Every Eurovision since 2002 has been assigned its own distinct theme that you may not have recognised on the night if it wasn’t brought to your attention beforehand. The majority of songs don’t have anything at all to do with the theme. So if you were thinking that you could attempt to predict the winning song by basing it on how closely it adheres to the theme, that might not be the way to go. One thing you should always look at, however, are the recent winners.

Year Winning Country Song and Artist
2019 The Netherlands Arcade by Duncan Laurence
2018 Israel Toy by Netta
2017 Portugal Amar pelos dois by Salvador Sobral
2016 Ukraine 1994 by Jamala
2015 Sweden Heroes by Måns Zelmerlöw
2014 Austria Rise Like A Phoenix by Conchita Wurst
2013 Denmark Only Teardrops by Emmelie de Forest
2012 Sweden Euphoria by Loreen
2011 Azerbaijan Running Scared by Ell & Nikki
2010 Germany Satellite by Lena
2009 Norway Fairytale by Alexander Rybak

Why Australia and should you bet on them?

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It sometimes seems that you need to be an expert on the Eurovision to understand why some things are the way they are. But maybe that’s just one of the reasons why we like it. It’s confusing, it’s cheesy, but it’s also entertaining. Perhaps one of the more confusing aspects of it all is that it allows Australia to take part. That’s despite the fact that it’s roughly 8,700 miles away from Europe. Australia’s ongoing inclusion was something of a controversial decision. Their invitation to participate in 2015 for the show’s 60th anniversary was one thing, as for some reason it is incredibly popular in Australia.

The fact that they have become a regular contestant, however, hasn’t gone down well with everyone. After their impressive debut (finishing in fifth place.) they came second the following year. In 2017 and 2018, however, they came ninth and 20th respectively. So it appears as though their beginner’s luck has come to an end. Therefore, going with the exotic choice shouldn’t be your strategy moving forward.

You don’t have to be a musical genius to succeed in Eurovision betting. Just use your knowledge and intuition, and you may well be on your way to winning your bets on this unique song contest.